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The number #1 and #2 seeds haven't met in a final at the crucible in over 30 years. In fact the Math says that it should happen very rarely. Let's give each of them a 70% chance of winning their first round match. 65% in the second, 60% in the quarters, and 55% in the semis.
The odds of them winning those eight matches to meet in the final are......
0.70*0.70*0.65*0.65*0.60*0.60*0.55*0.55 = 0.023 = 2.3% chance is once every 44 years
That seems about right. Even if Selby and O'Sullivan were both 80% to win it was 0.20*0.20 = 0.040 =4% chance that they both lose. Much much better chance than lightning striking you or winning the lottery.
Very insightful math.I guess it is because snooker is such a sport where its much easier to lose by everyone.Even if one is superior player, if its not his day and the opponent is inspired, the opponent can easily win.
In tennis its obviously not like that.Ferrer never manages to defeat Federer for example and Nadal is unbeatable on the clay and gets into finals every time
That was good entertainment all the way. :smile: I never look forward to the nightmare pairing, but it's good that we'll get it out of the way as early as the 2nd round. :wink:
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