2018 World Championship

[JimMalone]

6:3 to Maguire after the first session. I think this is a result both can live with. My guess is that actually O'Sullivan will still come through in the end.

[Billy]

Well, he's definitely not getting paid by the word.

:biggrin-new:

[JimMalone]

Hopefully Maguire wins this ninth frame. Having only a 5-4 lead would already feel like a huge disappointment for him after that comfortable lead and mentally he isn't exactly the strongest one.

[narl]

Question of the day:

Is Stephen Hendry a lazy commentator, or does he just know when to shut up?

Well, he's definitely not getting paid by the word.

[Billy]

Question of the day:

Is Stephen Hendry a lazy commentator, or does he just know when to shut up?

[narl]

Goat under pressure

The current scoreline would say otherwise.

[Hey]

Goat under pressure

[JimMalone]

Whoa. Horrible miss by Maguire. A shame, that was a great chance to up 5-3.

Edit: And O'Sullivan gifts it right back to him.

[blahblah01]

3-4, didn't take long.....

[blahblah01]

Yep to the 2 vs many events bit.

I guess doing the stats on when they have gone out in the last however many years would prove it....

Similarly with 1&2 in the World?

[Stony152]

Some bod on Eurosport said that the last time 1 and 2 Seeds lost in 1st Round was 1982 (Thorburn and Davis), with Johnson vs Davis the last 1&2 Seed Final.

See above calculations. I think the odds of both losing in the first round are higher than both reaching the final. That seems counter-intuitive, but you have to remember that one requires only two unlikely results, while the other requires eight likely results.

[blahblah01]

Some bod on Eurosport said that the last time 1 and 2 Seeds lost in 1st Round was 1982 (Thorburn and Davis), with Johnson vs Davis the last 1&2 Seed Final.

[Stony152]

I'm not sure that was true this year (the inevitablity of Selby vs ROS)

The number #1 and #2 seeds haven't met in a final at the crucible in over 30 years. In fact the Math says that it should happen very rarely. Let's give each of them a 70% chance of winning their first round match. 65% in the second, 60% in the quarters, and 55% in the semis.

The odds of them winning those eight matches to meet in the final are......

0.70*0.70*0.65*0.65*0.60*0.60*0.55*0.55 = 0.023 = 2.3% chance is once every 44 years

That seems about right. Even if Selby and O'Sullivan were both 80% to win it was 0.20*0.20 = 0.040 =4% chance that they both lose. Much much better chance than lightning striking you or winning the lottery.

[jonny66]

What are the odds for Ronnie threatening to retire after the match?

If he loses? I don't think there's a bookmaker in the world that would take that bet

Barry Hearn must be ****ting himself right now.

[kligu]

What are the odds for Ronnie threatening to retire after the match?