Congratulations snookersfun and davis_greatest!
Good idea! Half a point to each of us then!
The answer was Cantcope, with a chance of 7/11.
We know that the match went to a deciding frame, so it must have been 8-8 before the final frame. In coming back from 1-4 down to 8-8, Cantcope won 7 out of 11 frames. Therefore, the chance that he won frame 16 is 7/11 (or 63.63636363….%).
From 4-1 to 8-8, Robotsdaughter won 4 out off 11 frames, so the chance that he won frame 16 is 4/11.
We know immediately that Cantcope is more likely to have won frame 16, as he was behind, so needed to win more frames to level! (The 52% and 48% probabilities become irrelevant once we have the information that the match went to a deciding frame.)
SO HERE IS THE SCOREBOARD AFTER ROUND 46:
snookersfun……………………….…..19
abextra……………………………..…...10
Vidas……………………………………….8½
davis_greatest…………………..……5½
robert602…………………………………5
elvaago...............................4
Semih_Sayginer.....................½
(some rounds may be worth more than one point)
(especially ones won by davis_greatest)
Originally Posted by abextra
The answer was Cantcope, with a chance of 7/11.
We know that the match went to a deciding frame, so it must have been 8-8 before the final frame. In coming back from 1-4 down to 8-8, Cantcope won 7 out of 11 frames. Therefore, the chance that he won frame 16 is 7/11 (or 63.63636363….%).
From 4-1 to 8-8, Robotsdaughter won 4 out off 11 frames, so the chance that he won frame 16 is 4/11.
We know immediately that Cantcope is more likely to have won frame 16, as he was behind, so needed to win more frames to level! (The 52% and 48% probabilities become irrelevant once we have the information that the match went to a deciding frame.)
SO HERE IS THE SCOREBOARD AFTER ROUND 46:
snookersfun……………………….…..19
abextra……………………………..…...10
Vidas……………………………………….8½
davis_greatest…………………..……5½
robert602…………………………………5
elvaago...............................4
Semih_Sayginer.....................½
(some rounds may be worth more than one point)
(especially ones won by davis_greatest)
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