Originally Posted by moglet
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Labelling the pockets as described in post 3431 and following the approach I outlined gives the equations:
A = 5 + ⅓A + ⅓B + ⅓C
B = 5 + ⅓A + ⅓B
C = 5 + ⅔A
which we rearrange as
2A = 15+B+C
2B = 15+A
3C = 15+2A
which we can solve (3 equations in 3 unknowns) as:
A=33, B=24, C=27
Using an identical method we can find the average time between Oliver's shots. When he plays a shot, it takes 5 seconds and there is a ⅔ chance that it goes to a B pocket (green or blue) and a ⅓ chance that it goes to the C pocket (brown, opposite).
So the average time between Oliver's shots is 5 + ⅔B+ ⅓C = 5+16+9 = 30 seconds.
Originally Posted by moglet
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(a) the yellow pocket, with probability 0.0710% (same for pink)
(b) the green pocket, with probability 0.0479% (same for blue)
(c) the brown pocket, with probability 0.0572%
(d) Oliver again, with probability 0.0617%
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